Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.448519 11.582971 12.802116 14.211831 15.799645 17.535736 19.581739
2025-09-07 8.802524 10.375779 12.187416 14.436814 17.167182 20.389459 24.503029
2025-09-14 7.418570 9.206775 11.389860 14.271514 18.005356 22.720777 29.191370
2025-09-21 6.311896 8.185752 10.591298 13.940579 18.538094 24.707710 33.749606
2025-09-28 5.529343 7.453553 10.035919 13.807103 19.261339 26.999730 39.057154
2025-10-05 5.095105 7.118679 9.949105 14.272535 20.844399 30.682557 46.957785
2025-10-12 4.720984 6.812106 9.848566 14.681173 22.372359 34.478079 55.673057
2025-10-19 4.323926 6.419076 9.563936 14.756238 23.369682 37.561188 63.744129
2025-10-26 3.939655 5.998650 9.182301 14.615678 23.975576 40.058455 71.211466
2025-11-02 3.597441 5.605189 8.794797 14.406673 24.418023 42.309209 78.597271
2025-11-09 3.294691 5.243041 8.416381 14.159452 24.744730 44.373838 85.968332
2025-11-16 3.041541 4.937098 8.097761 13.972973 25.144406 46.610268 94.073155
2025-11-23 2.829294 4.685579 7.855344 13.910635 25.799145 49.500127 104.290396
2025-11-30 2.696445 4.558659 7.817705 14.222823 27.226788 54.179266 119.515311
2025-12-07 2.515607 4.330260 7.575232 14.114323 27.791222 57.141909 131.411816
2025-12-14 2.328424 4.073879 7.256679 13.818534 27.922814 59.179399 141.503141
2025-12-21 2.183537 3.882587 7.041529 13.704456 28.424454 62.124663 154.591488
2025-12-28 2.121229 3.840463 7.107250 14.177012 30.289419 68.574653 178.700451
2026-01-04 2.055857 3.786362 7.143359 14.589258 32.075311 75.151936 204.936905
2026-01-11 1.960320 3.665093 7.033047 14.667757 33.082570 79.941338 227.179604
2026-01-18 1.851458 3.508562 6.836491 14.530455 33.544130 83.382552 246.177403
2026-01-25 1.745177 3.349122 6.620197 14.324160 33.804781 86.328721 264.406700
2026-02-01 1.644050 3.192804 6.397568 14.079308 33.933925 88.935802 282.258779